Polymarket Fast Loop
Trade Polymarket BTC 5-minute and 15-minute fast markets using CEX price momentum signals via Simmer API. Default signal is Binance BTC/USDT klines. Use when...
Description
name: polymarket-fast-loop displayName: Polymarket FastLoop Trader description: Trade Polymarket BTC 5-minute and 15-minute fast markets using CEX price momentum signals via Simmer API. Default signal is Binance BTC/USDT klines. Use when user wants to trade sprint/fast markets, automate short-term crypto trading, or use CEX momentum as a Polymarket signal. metadata: {"clawdbot":{"emoji":"⚡","requires":{"env":["SIMMER_API_KEY"]},"cron":null,"autostart":false}} authors:
- Simmer (@simmer_markets) version: "1.0.6" published: true
Polymarket FastLoop Trader
Trade Polymarket's 5-minute BTC fast markets using real-time price momentum from Binance.
Polymarket only. All trades execute on Polymarket with real USDC. Use
--livefor real trades, dry-run is the default.
How it works: Every cycle, the script finds the current live BTC fast market, checks BTC price momentum on Binance, and trades if momentum diverges from market odds.
This is a template. The default signal (Binance momentum) gets you started. Your agent's reasoning is the edge — layer on sentiment analysis, multi-exchange spreads, news feeds, or custom signals to improve it.
⚠️ Fast markets carry Polymarket's 10% fee (
is_paid: true). Factor this into your edge calculations.
When to Use This Skill
Use this skill when the user wants to:
- Trade BTC sprint/fast markets (5-minute or 15-minute)
- Automate short-term crypto prediction trading
- Use CEX price momentum as a Polymarket signal
- Monitor sprint market positions
Setup Flow
When user asks to install or configure this skill:
-
Ask for Simmer API key
- Get from simmer.markets/dashboard → SDK tab
- Store in environment as
SIMMER_API_KEY
-
Ask about settings (or confirm defaults)
- Asset: BTC, ETH, or SOL (default BTC)
- Entry threshold: Min divergence to trade (default 5¢)
- Max position: Amount per trade (default $5.00)
- Window: 5m or 15m (default 5m)
-
Set up cron or loop (user drives scheduling — see "How to Run on a Loop")
Quick Start
# Set your API key
export SIMMER_API_KEY="your-key-here"
# Dry run — see what would happen
python fastloop_trader.py
# Go live
python fastloop_trader.py --live
# Live + quiet (for cron/heartbeat loops)
python fastloop_trader.py --live --quiet
# Live + smart sizing (5% of balance per trade)
python fastloop_trader.py --live --smart-sizing --quiet
How to Run on a Loop
The script runs one cycle — your bot drives the loop. Set up a cron job or heartbeat:
Every 5 minutes (one per fast market window):
*/5 * * * * cd /path/to/skill && python fastloop_trader.py --live --quiet
Every 1 minute (more aggressive, catches mid-window opportunities):
* * * * * cd /path/to/skill && python fastloop_trader.py --live --quiet
Via OpenClaw heartbeat: Add to your HEARTBEAT.md:
Run: cd /path/to/fast market && python fastloop_trader.py --live --quiet
Configuration
Configure via config.json, environment variables, or --set:
# Change entry threshold
python fastloop_trader.py --set entry_threshold=0.08
# Trade ETH instead of BTC
python fastloop_trader.py --set asset=ETH
# Multiple settings
python fastloop_trader.py --set min_momentum_pct=0.3 --set max_position=10
Settings
| Setting | Default | Env Var | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
entry_threshold |
0.05 | SIMMER_SPRINT_ENTRY |
Min price divergence from 50¢ to trigger |
min_momentum_pct |
0.5 | SIMMER_SPRINT_MOMENTUM |
Min BTC % move to trigger |
max_position |
5.0 | SIMMER_SPRINT_MAX_POSITION |
Max $ per trade |
signal_source |
binance | SIMMER_SPRINT_SIGNAL |
Price feed (binance, coingecko) |
lookback_minutes |
5 | SIMMER_SPRINT_LOOKBACK |
Minutes of price history |
min_time_remaining |
60 | SIMMER_SPRINT_MIN_TIME |
Skip fast markets with less time left (seconds) |
asset |
BTC | SIMMER_SPRINT_ASSET |
Asset to trade (BTC, ETH, SOL) |
window |
5m | SIMMER_SPRINT_WINDOW |
Market window duration (5m or 15m) |
volume_confidence |
true | SIMMER_SPRINT_VOL_CONF |
Weight signal by Binance volume |
Example config.json
{
"entry_threshold": 0.08,
"min_momentum_pct": 0.3,
"max_position": 10.0,
"asset": "BTC",
"window": "5m",
"signal_source": "binance"
}
CLI Options
python fastloop_trader.py # Dry run
python fastloop_trader.py --live # Real trades
python fastloop_trader.py --live --quiet # Silent except trades/errors
python fastloop_trader.py --smart-sizing # Portfolio-based sizing
python fastloop_trader.py --positions # Show open fast market positions
python fastloop_trader.py --config # Show current config
python fastloop_trader.py --set KEY=VALUE # Update config
Signal Logic
Default signal (Binance momentum):
- Fetch last 5 one-minute candles from Binance (
BTCUSDT) - Calculate momentum:
(price_now - price_5min_ago) / price_5min_ago - Compare momentum direction to current Polymarket odds
- Trade when:
- Momentum ≥
min_momentum_pct(default 0.5%) - Price diverges from 50¢ by ≥
entry_threshold(default 5¢) - Volume ratio > 0.5x average (filters out thin moves)
- Momentum ≥
Example: BTC up 0.8% in last 5 min, but fast market YES price is only $0.52. The 3¢ divergence from the expected ~$0.55 → buy YES.
Customizing Your Signal
The default momentum signal is a starting point. To add your own edge:
- Multi-exchange: Compare prices across Binance, Kraken, Bitfinex — divergence between exchanges can predict CLOB direction
- Sentiment: Layer in Twitter/social signals — a viral tweet can move fast markets
- Technical indicators: RSI, VWAP, order flow analysis
- News: Breaking news correlation — use your agent's reasoning to interpret headlines
The skill handles all the Simmer plumbing (discovery, import, trade execution). Your agent provides the alpha.
Example Output
⚡ Simmer FastLoop Trading Skill
==================================================
[DRY RUN] No trades will be executed. Use --live to enable trading.
⚙️ Configuration:
Asset: BTC
Entry threshold: 0.05 (min divergence from 50¢)
Min momentum: 0.5% (min price move)
Max position: $5.00
Signal source: binance
Lookback: 5 minutes
Min time left: 60s
Volume weighting: ✓
🔍 Discovering BTC fast markets...
Found 3 active fast markets
🎯 Selected: Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
Expires in: 185s
Current YES price: $0.480
📈 Fetching BTC price signal (binance)...
Price: $97,234.50 (was $96,812.30)
Momentum: +0.436%
Direction: up
Volume ratio: 1.45x avg
🧠 Analyzing...
⏸️ Momentum 0.436% < minimum 0.500% — skip
📊 Summary: No trade (momentum too weak: 0.436%)
Source Tagging
All trades are tagged with source: "sdk:fastloop". This means:
- Portfolio shows breakdown by strategy
- Other skills won't interfere with your fast market positions
- You can track fast market P&L separately
Troubleshooting
"No active fast markets found"
- Fast markets may not be running (off-hours, weekends)
- Check Polymarket directly for active BTC fast markets
"No fast markets with >60s remaining"
- Current window is about to expire, next one isn't live yet
- Reduce
min_time_remainingif you want to trade closer to expiry
"Import failed: Rate limit exceeded"
- Free tier: 10 imports/day. Pro: 50/day
- Fast market trading needs Pro for reasonable frequency
"Failed to fetch price data"
- Binance API may be down or rate limited
- Try
--set signal_source=coingeckoas fallback
"Trade failed: no liquidity"
- Fast market has thin book, try smaller position size
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