Trade Validation

10-dimension weighted scoring framework for prediction market trade evaluation. Enforces disciplined position sizing, circuit breakers, and mandatory counter-arguments.

Use when: evaluating prediction market trades, scoring opportunities, deciding position sizes, comparing Polymarket/Kalshi opportunities, running pre-trade checklists.

Don't use when: general crypto analysis, DeFi yield farming, non-prediction-market investments, stock/equity analysis, sports betting (different framework needed).

Negative examples:

• "Should I buy ETH?" → No. This is for prediction markets with binary/discrete outcomes.
• "What's the best DeFi yield?" → No. Wrong domain entirely.
• "Score this sports bet" → No. Sports betting has different dimensions (injuries, matchups).

Edge cases:

• Crypto prediction markets (e.g., "Will BTC hit $X?") → YES, use this if on Polymarket/Kalshi.
• Multi-outcome markets → Score each outcome separately.
• Markets with <$25 liquidity → Auto-fail on Liquidity dimension.